IranUS-IrandiplomacyAmbassadorGeopolitics
Total volume: 48,163 US$ 24h volume: 9 US$ Liquidity: 10,851 US$
Implied probability is the price of a YES share: one costs $0.195 now and pays $1 if the question resolves yes — what the market's traders believe, not Gheymatban's forecast and not the truth.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if any country expels the Iranian Ambassador stationed in that country as of market creation between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Another Iranian Ambassador expelled by October 31? — YES probability from 56% on 20 Aug 2026 to 19% on 11 Oct 2026
Source: a prediction market's questions on Iran — read-only