OilIranHormuzHouthisGeopoliticsBab el-MandebStrait of Hormuz
Total volume: 56,694 US$ 24h volume: 210 US$ Liquidity: 56,437 US$
The deadline has passed and the market has not announced the result yet; the last price is no longer the odds of an open event.
This market will resolve according to the 7-day moving average of transit calls (“Arrivals of Ships”) for the Bab el-Mandeb Strait that IMF Portwatch reports for September 30, 2026.
Avg. # of ships transiting Bab el-Mandeb Strait end of September? — YES probability from 48% on 26 Aug 2026 to 93.5% on 1 Oct 2026
Source: a prediction market's questions on Iran — read-only