OilIranHormuzGeopoliticsStrait of Hormuz
Total volume: 101,562 US$ 24h volume: 1,115 US$ Liquidity: 83,897 US$
The deadline has passed and the market has not announced the result yet; the last price is no longer the odds of an open event.
This market will resolve according to the finalized 7-day moving average of transit calls (“Arrivals of Ships”) for the Strait of Hormuz that IMF Portwatch reports for September 30, 2026.
Avg. # of ships transiting Strait of Hormuz end of September? — YES probability from 25% on 27 Aug 2026 to 98.6% on 1 Oct 2026
Source: a prediction market's questions on Iran — read-only