IranTrumpTreatyMiddle EastU.S. x Iran
Total volume: 13,170 US$ 24h volume: 0 US$ Liquidity: 547 US$
Implied probability is the price of a YES share: one costs $0.07 now and pays $1 if the question resolves yes — what the market's traders believe, not Gheymatban's forecast and not the truth.
This market will resolve to “Yes" if the United States Congress passes a qualifying bill or resolution which, by its operative text, expresses approval regarding an agreement where the Islamic Republic of Iran and the United States are both parties by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve…
Congress approves Iran deal in 2026? — YES probability from 51% on 16 Jun 2026 to 7.5% on 1 Oct 2026
Source: a prediction market's questions on Iran — read-only