OilGeopoliticsCommoditiesFinanceIran
Total volume: 4.6M US$ 24h volume: 78,697 US$ Liquidity: 126,656 US$
Implied probability is the price of a YES share: one costs $0.095 now and pays $1 if the question resolves yes — what the market's traders believe, not Gheymatban's forecast and not the truth.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if, on any trading day after market creation, the official daily high price published by the CME Group for the Active Month (front month) of CME Crude Oil (CL) futures is greater than $147.27 by the final trading day on or before the specified date.
Crude Oil all time high by December 31? — YES probability from 56% on 30 Apr 2026 to 12% on 1 Oct 2026
Source: a prediction market's questions on Iran — read-only