OilIranEuropeFrancedieselEconomyGermanypetroleum
Total volume: 5,144 US$ 24h volume: 5,144 US$ Liquidity: 16,227 US$
Implied probability is the price of a YES share: one costs $0.845 now and pays $1 if the question resolves yes — what the market's traders believe, not Gheymatban's forecast and not the truth.
On October 1, 2026, Reuters reported that the United States had told France and Germany to release emergency diesel stocks or face a potential US diesel export ban, as Washington presses European countries to draw down their reserves to ease surging diesel prices.
No stored history for this outcome yet.
Each row is a separate contract and the odds do not sum to exactly 100; the market defines the buckets in rials, read here in toman; a market price, not Gheymatban's forecast
Source: a prediction market's questions on Iran — read-only