Houthi military action against Saudi Arabia on October 1?

IranYemenHouthisMilitaryGeopoliticsMiddle EastSaudi ArabiaMilitary Actions

Updated:2 Oct

Implied probability October 1Awaiting result

Ends1 Oct 2026 in −0 days

Total volume: 3,293 US$ 24h volume: 945 US$ Liquidity: 2,514 US$

The deadline has passed and the market has not announced the result yet; the last price is no longer the odds of an open event.

Resolution rules (the market's own text)

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the Houthis take a qualifying military action against Saudi Arabia on the specified date, Arabia Standard Time (AST).

YES probability over timeOctober 1

No stored history for this outcome yet.

Term structure

Each deadline is a separate contract; these odds do not sum to 100.

Outcomes

October 1Volume: 102 US$Awaiting result
October 151d +4 ppVolume: 81 US$
39%
October 21d +6.5 ppVolume: 192 US$
38%
October 11Volume: 107 US$
36%
October 81d −0.5 ppVolume: 103 US$
35%
October 61d −18.5 ppVolume: 240 US$
32%
October 241d +0.5 ppVolume: 0 US$
30%
October 211d −8.5 ppVolume: 50 US$
29%
October 161d −2.5 ppVolume: 30 US$
29%
October 201d −7.5 ppVolume: 30 US$
29%
October 141d −8 ppVolume: 146 US$
29%
October 221d −9 ppVolume: 99 US$
29%
October 51d −7.5 ppVolume: 70 US$
29%
October 281d −7 ppVolume: 66 US$
29%
October 271d −7.5 ppVolume: 65 US$
29%
October 231d −4 ppVolume: 0 US$
29%
October 311d −1 ppVolume: 70 US$
28%
October 291d −1 ppVolume: 63 US$
28%
October 191d −8.5 ppVolume: 63 US$
28%
October 181d +0.5 ppVolume: 0 US$
28%
October 91d −17.5 ppVolume: 461 US$
28%
October 71d −8.5 ppVolume: 130 US$
28%
October 261d −9.5 ppVolume: 116 US$
28%
October 301d −7.5 ppVolume: 85 US$
28%
October 17Volume: 72 US$
28%
October 131d −10 ppVolume: 51 US$
28%
October 251d −10.5 ppVolume: 222 US$
27%
October 31d −17.5 ppVolume: 210 US$
18%
October 41d −20.5 ppVolume: 170 US$
15%
October 121d +3.5 ppVolume: 76 US$
14%
October 101d −24 ppVolume: 124 US$
12%

Source: a prediction market's questions on Iran — read-only