Houthis enter Saudi Arabia by December 31?

IranYemenMilitaryGeopoliticsMiddle EastSaudi Arabiayemeni houthis

Updated:2 Oct

Implied probability December 3126%

Move1d +3 pp1w +3 pp

Bid/ask spreadbid 24% / ask 27%

Ends31 Dec 2026 in 91 days

Total volume: 52,748 US$ 24h volume: 1,578 US$ Liquidity: 28,752 US$

Implied probability is the price of a YES share: one costs $0.255 now and pays $1 if the question resolves yes — what the market's traders believe, not Gheymatban's forecast and not the truth.

Resolution rules (the market's own text)

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Houthi military forces enter any part of the Kingdom of Saudi Arabia by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

YES probability over timeDecember 31

Outcomes

Source: a prediction market's questions on Iran — read-only