Houthis target Pakistan by December 31?

IranYemenHouthisMilitaryPakistanGeopoliticsMiddle EastMilitary Actions

Updated:13 Oct

Implied probability December 3118%thin market

Move—

Bid/ask spreadbid 16% / ask 20%

Ends31 Dec 2026 in 81 days

Total volume: 93 US$ 24h volume: 93 US$ Liquidity: 21,580 US$

Implied probability is the price of a YES share: one costs $0.18 now and pays $1 if the question resolves yes — what the market's traders believe, not Gheymatban's forecast and not the truth.

Resolution rules (the market's own text)

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the Houthis target Pakistan through a qualifying military action between market creation and the listed date, Arabia Standard Time (AST).

YES probability over timeDecember 31

No stored history for this outcome yet.

Outcomes

December 31thinly tradedVolume: 21 US$
18%
October 31thinly tradedVolume: 72 US$
12%

Source: a prediction market's questions on Iran — read-only