Houthis target Syria by December 31?

IranSyriaYemenHouthisMilitaryGeopoliticsMiddle EastMilitary Actions

Updated:9 Oct

Implied probability December 3120%thin market

Move—

Bid/ask spreadbid 18% / ask 21%

Ends31 Dec 2026 in 84 days

Total volume: 341 US$ 24h volume: 341 US$ Liquidity: 21,305 US$

Implied probability is the price of a YES share: one costs $0.195 now and pays $1 if the question resolves yes — what the market's traders believe, not Gheymatban's forecast and not the truth.

Resolution rules (the market's own text)

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the Houthis target Syria through a qualifying military action between market creation and the listed date, Arabia Standard Time (AST).

YES probability over timeDecember 31

No stored history for this outcome yet.

Outcomes

December 31Volume: 0 US$
20%
October 31Volume: 341 US$
6%

Source: a prediction market's questions on Iran — read-only