IranPoliticsGeopoliticsU.S. x IranNegotiation Topics
Total volume: 407,029 US$ 24h volume: 315 US$ Liquidity: 28,030 US$
Implied probability is the price of a YES share: one costs $0.135 now and pays $1 if the question resolves yes — what the market's traders believe, not Gheymatban's forecast and not the truth.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if one or more International Atomic Energy Agency (IAEA) officials physically visit the Isfahan Nuclear Technology Center, Fordow Fuel Enrichment Plant, or Natanz Nuclear Facility in Iran between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve…
IAEA visits Isfahan, Fordow, or Natanz nuclear site by December 31? — YES probability from 50% on 30 Jun 2026 to 14% on 11 Oct 2026
Source: a prediction market's questions on Iran — read-only