OilIranEuropedieselGermanyPoliticseconomicsgas price
Total volume: 6,329 US$ 24h volume: 60 US$ Liquidity: 42,686 US$
Implied probability is the price of a YES share: one costs $0.355 now and pays $1 if the question resolves yes — what the market's traders believe, not Gheymatban's forecast and not the truth.
On October 1, 2026, Reuters reported that the United States had told France and Germany to release emergency diesel stocks or face a potential US diesel export ban, as Washington presses European countries to draw down their reserves to ease record diesel prices.
IEA asks Germany to release oil stocks by December 31? — YES probability from 49% on 2 Oct 2026 to 38% on 11 Oct 2026
Source: a prediction market's questions on Iran — read-only