GeopoliticsIran RegimeReza PahlaviIranIsraelWorldTrumpMiddle East
Total volume: 2.1M US$ 24h volume: 771 US$ Liquidity: 21,008 US$
Implied probability is the price of a YES share: one costs $0.095 now and pays $1 if the question resolves yes — what the market's traders believe, not Gheymatban's forecast and not the truth.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is a widely reported coup attempt in Iran at any point between market creation and June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." A coup attempt is defined as a coordinated and deliberate effort by military, security forces, or other state actors…
Iran coup attempt by December 31? — YES probability from 45% on 30 Jun 2026 to 9.5% on 1 Oct 2026
Source: a prediction market's questions on Iran — read-only