IranTrumpPeace DealGeopoliticsStrait of Hormuz
Total volume: 2.8M US$ 24h volume: 1,191 US$ Liquidity: 29,812 US$
Implied probability is the price of a YES share: one costs $0.175 now and pays $1 if the question resolves yes — what the market's traders believe, not Gheymatban's forecast and not the truth.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if a diplomatic agreement between Oman and Iran over traffic in the strait of Hormuz is announced by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. A diplomatic agreement refers to an official agreement, treaty, deal, or substantially similar diplomatic instrument that establishes agreed actions,…
Iran-Oman Hormuz Management Agreement by October 31? — YES probability from 61% on 28 Aug 2026 to 17% on 1 Oct 2026
Source: a prediction market's questions on Iran — read-only