Iran releases Trump Hormuz voicemail by October 31?

IranTrumpPoliticsGeopoliticsMiddle EastU.S. x IranStrait of Hormuz

Updated:12 Oct

Implied probability October 314.2%

Move1d −1.2 pp

Bid/ask spreadbid 3.1% / ask 5.4%

Ends31 Oct 2026 in 20 days

Total volume: 13,783 US$ 24h volume: 1,203 US$ Liquidity: 27,385 US$

Implied probability is the price of a YES share: one costs $0.042 now and pays $1 if the question resolves yes — what the market's traders believe, not Gheymatban's forecast and not the truth.

Resolution rules (the market's own text)

In early October 2026, posts circulating on social media claimed that Iranian officials would soon release audio of voicemails allegedly left for them by U.S. President Donald Trump, including messages seeking the reopening of the Strait of Hormuz.

YES probability over timeOctober 31

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Outcomes

Source: a prediction market's questions on Iran — read-only