IranplaneIsraelflightPoliticsco-pilotstabbingfly dubai
Total volume: 240,697 US$ 24h volume: 210,948 US$ Liquidity: 30,274 US$
Implied probability is the price of a YES share: one costs $0.165 now and pays $1 if the question resolves yes — what the market's traders believe, not Gheymatban's forecast and not the truth.
On September 30, 2026, FlyDubai flight FZ1073 from Dubai to Tel Aviv diverted to Saudi Arabia following an incident in the cockpit in which the co-pilot allegedly stabbed the captain.
Israel accuses Iran/proxies of plane stabbing incident by Oct 31? — YES probability from 44% on 30 Sept 2026 to 17% on 1 Oct 2026
Source: a prediction market's questions on Iran — read-only