IranIsraelLebanonPoliticsGeopoliticsIsrael x Iran
Total volume: 5,032 US$ 24h volume: 360 US$ Liquidity: 23,707 US$
Implied probability is the price of a YES share: one costs $0.885 now and pays $1 if the question resolves yes — what the market's traders believe, not Gheymatban's forecast and not the truth.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is a diplomatic meeting between representatives of Israel and Lebanon between market creation and the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Israel x Lebanon diplomatic meeting by October 31? — YES probability from 63% on 22 Sept 2026 to 89% on 1 Oct 2026
Source: a prediction market's questions on Iran — read-only