Military action against King Khalid International Airport (RUH) by November 30?

IranYemenHouthisPoliticsGeopoliticsSaudi Arabia

Updated:13 Oct

Implied probability November 3085%thin market

Move—

Bid/ask spreadbid 82% / ask 88%

Ends30 Nov 2026 in 50 days

Total volume: 40 US$ 24h volume: 40 US$ Liquidity: 11,169 US$

Implied probability is the price of a YES share: one costs $0.85 now and pays $1 if the question resolves yes — what the market's traders believe, not Gheymatban's forecast and not the truth.

Resolution rules (the market's own text)

This market will resolve to “Yes” if King Khalid International Airport (RUH) is targeted by a qualifying military action between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM Riyadh Time.

YES probability over timeNovember 30

No stored history for this outcome yet.

Term structure

Each deadline is a separate contract; these odds do not sum to 100.

Show table

Outcomes

November 30thinly tradedVolume: 0 US$
85%
October 31thinly tradedVolume: 20 US$
77%
October 15thinly tradedVolume: 20 US$
55%

Source: a prediction market's questions on Iran — read-only