GeopoliticsmbsSaudi ArabiaIranOPECYemen
Total volume: 1.8M US$ 24h volume: 20 US$ Liquidity: 33,994 US$
Implied probability is the price of a YES share: one costs $0.043 now and pays $1 if the question resolves yes — what the market's traders believe, not Gheymatban's forecast and not the truth.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Crown Prince of Saudi Arabia Mohammed bin Salman ceases to be leader of Saudi Arabia for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET).
Mohammed bin Salman out as leader of Saudi Arabia by December 31? — YES probability from 9.5% on 27 Mar 2026 to 4.3% on 1 Oct 2026
Source: a prediction market's questions on Iran — read-only