Middle EastIsraelIranGeopolitics
Total volume: 7.3M US$ 24h volume: 9,185 US$ Liquidity: 53,169 US$
Implied probability is the price of a YES share: one costs $0.195 now and pays $1 if the question resolves yes — what the market's traders believe, not Gheymatban's forecast and not the truth.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Supreme Leader of Iran, Mojtaba Khamenei, is photographed or videotaped between market creation and the listed date (ET).
Mojtaba Khamenei public appearance by December 31? — YES probability from 40% on 2 Jul 2026 to 20% on 1 Oct 2026
Source: a prediction market's questions on Iran — read-only