IranmeetTrumpVanceUS-IranmeetingPoliticsPeace Deal
Total volume: 684,754 US$ 24h volume: 9,159 US$ Liquidity: 125,672 US$
Implied probability is the price of a YES share: one costs $0.415 now and pays $1 if the question resolves yes — what the market's traders believe, not Gheymatban's forecast and not the truth.
On September 22, U.S. Special Envoy Steve Witkoff and Jared Kushner met Iranian Foreign Minister Abbas Araghchi on the sidelines of the UN General Assembly in New York, with President Trump saying another meeting is scheduled in the near future.(see:…
Next US-Iran senior diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026? — YES probability from 69% on 22 Sept 2026 to 43% on 11 Oct 2026
Each deadline is a separate contract; these odds do not sum to 100.
Term structure: October 31, 2026 13%, November 30, 2026 30%, December 31, 2026 42%
Source: a prediction market's questions on Iran — read-only