IranmeetTrumpVanceUS-IranmeetingPoliticsPeace Deal
Total volume: 527,254 US$ 24h volume: 37,329 US$ Liquidity: 86,256 US$
Implied probability is the price of a YES share: one costs $0.505 now and pays $1 if the question resolves yes — what the market's traders believe, not Gheymatban's forecast and not the truth.
On September 22, U.S. Special Envoy Steve Witkoff and Jared Kushner met Iranian Foreign Minister Abbas Araghchi on the sidelines of the UN General Assembly in New York, with President Trump saying another meeting is scheduled in the near future.(see:…
Next US-Iran senior diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026? — YES probability from 69% on 22 Sept 2026 to 56% on 1 Oct 2026
Each deadline is a separate contract; these odds do not sum to 100.
Term structure: October 5, 2026 1.3%, October 31, 2026 25%, November 30, 2026 40%, December 31, 2026 51%
Source: a prediction market's questions on Iran — read-only