Putin meets with Iranian officials by December 31?

IranputinRussiaGeopolitics

Updated:14 Oct

Implied probability December 3163%thin market

Move—

Bid/ask spreadbid 58% / ask 68%

Ends31 Dec 2026 in 80 days

Total volume: 2 US$ 24h volume: 2 US$ Liquidity: 340 US$

Implied probability is the price of a YES share: one costs $0.63 now and pays $1 if the question resolves yes — what the market's traders believe, not Gheymatban's forecast and not the truth.

Resolution rules (the market's own text)

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Vladimir Putin meets with one or more Iranian government officials between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

YES probability over timeDecember 31

No stored history for this outcome yet.

Outcomes

December 31thinly tradedVolume: 0 US$
63%
October 31thinly tradedVolume: 2 US$
24%

Source: a prediction market's questions on Iran — read-only