Putin meets with Iranian officials by December 31?

IranputinRussiaGeopolitics

Updated:3 Oct

Implied probability96.2%

Move1d 0 pp1w −1.7 pp

Bid/ask spreadbid 95.7% / ask 96.8%

Ends31 Dec 2026 in 90 days

Total volume: 18,494 US$ 24h volume: 82 US$ Liquidity: 29,881 US$

Implied probability is the price of a YES share: one costs $0.962 now and pays $1 if the question resolves yes — what the market's traders believe, not Gheymatban's forecast and not the truth.

Resolution rules (the market's own text)

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Vladimir Putin meets with one or more Iranian government officials by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

YES probability over time

Outcomes

Source: a prediction market's questions on Iran — read-only