Riyadh airport closed to departures for 24 hours by October 31?

IranYemenHouthisPoliticsGeopoliticsMiddle EastSaudi Arabia

Updated:9 Oct

Implied probability October 3124%thin market

Move—

Bid/ask spreadbid 15% / ask 33%

Ends31 Oct 2026 in 23 days

Total volume: 390 US$ 24h volume: 390 US$ Liquidity: 11,016 US$

Implied probability is the price of a YES share: one costs $0.24 now and pays $1 if the question resolves yes — what the market's traders believe, not Gheymatban's forecast and not the truth.

Resolution rules (the market's own text)

This market will resolve to "Yes" if no flight departs from Riyadh's King Khalid International Airport (RUH) for a period of at least 24 consecutive hours, where that period begins between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

YES probability over timeOctober 31

No stored history for this outcome yet.

Outcomes

October 31Volume: 390 US$
24%
October 15Volume: 0 US$
13%

Source: a prediction market's questions on Iran — read-only