Riyadh airport reopens (50+ departures) by October 31?

IranYemenHouthisPoliticsGeopoliticsMiddle EastSaudi Arabia

Updated:13 Oct

Implied probability October 3166%thin market

Move—

Bid/ask spreadbid 65% / ask 67%

Ends31 Oct 2026 in 20 days

Total volume: 265 US$ 24h volume: 265 US$ Liquidity: 31,485 US$

Implied probability is the price of a YES share: one costs $0.66 now and pays $1 if the question resolves yes — what the market's traders believe, not Gheymatban's forecast and not the truth.

Resolution rules (the market's own text)

This market will resolve to "Yes" if at least 50 flights depart from Riyadh's King Khalid International Airport (RUH) within a single calendar day in Riyadh local time (Arabia Standard Time, AST), between the date of market creation and the specified date.

YES probability over timeOctober 31

No stored history for this outcome yet.

Term structure

Each deadline is a separate contract; these odds do not sum to 100.

Show table

Outcomes

October 31thinly tradedVolume: 182 US$
66%
October 20thinly tradedVolume: 30 US$
29%
October 15thinly tradedVolume: 54 US$
7.5%

Source: a prediction market's questions on Iran — read-only