IranMilitaryGeopoliticsMiddle EastSaudi ArabiaMilitary ActionsMilitary StrikesYemen
Total volume: 3,069 US$ 24h volume: 11 US$ Liquidity: 38,201 US$
Implied probability is the price of a YES share: one costs $0.13 now and pays $1 if the question resolves yes — what the market's traders believe, not Gheymatban's forecast and not the truth.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Saudi Arabia takes a qualifying military action against Iran by the specified date, 11:59 PM Iran Standard Time (IRST).
No stored history for this outcome yet.
Each deadline is a separate contract; these odds do not sum to 100.
Term structure: September 30 1.5%, October 31 2.1%, December 31 13%
Source: a prediction market's questions on Iran — read-only