Trump invokes war powers in Yemen by September 30?

IranTrumpYemenHouthisPoliticsGeopolitics

Updated:2 Oct

Implied probabilityAwaiting result

Ends30 Sept 2026

Total volume: 55,034 US$ 24h volume: 576 US$ Liquidity: 13,694 US$

The deadline has passed and the market has not announced the result yet; the last price is no longer the odds of an open event.

Resolution rules (the market's own text)

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Donald Trump or the Trump Administration submits a 48-hour report consistent with the War Powers Resolution regarding the introduction of U.S. armed forces into hostilities or imminent hostilities in Yemen or against the Houthis between the date of market creation and the specified…

YES probability over time

Outcomes

Source: a prediction market's questions on Iran — read-only