Trump meets with Ayatollah Mojtaba Khamenei by December 31?

TrumpMiddle EastIranGeopoliticsPoliticsIran Ceasefireayatollah

Updated:3 Oct

Implied probability December 312.6%

Move1d +0.1 pp1w +0.4 pp1m +0.3 pp

Bid/ask spreadbid 2.4% / ask 2.9%

Ends31 Dec 2026 in 91 days

Total volume: 200,389 US$ 24h volume: 11 US$ Liquidity: 50,613 US$

Implied probability is the price of a YES share: one costs $0.026 now and pays $1 if the question resolves yes — what the market's traders believe, not Gheymatban's forecast and not the truth.

Resolution rules (the market's own text)

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump meets with Mojtaba Khamenei between market creation and the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

YES probability over timeDecember 31

Outcomes

Source: a prediction market's questions on Iran — read-only

Trump meets with Ayatollah Mojtaba Khamenei by December 31?

TrumpMiddle EastIranGeopoliticsPoliticsIran Ceasefireayatollah

Updated:3 Oct

Implied probability December 312.6%

Move1d +0.1 pp1w +0.4 pp1m +0.3 pp

Bid/ask spreadbid 2.4% / ask 2.9%

Ends31 Dec 2026 in 91 days

Total volume: 200,389 US$ 24h volume: 11 US$ Liquidity: 50,613 US$

Implied probability is the price of a YES share: one costs $0.026 now and pays $1 if the question resolves yes — what the market's traders believe, not Gheymatban's forecast and not the truth.

Resolution rules (the market's own text)

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump meets with Mojtaba Khamenei between market creation and the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

YES probability over timeDecember 31

Outcomes

Source: a prediction market's questions on Iran — read-only

Resolution rules (the market's own text)

YES probability over timeDecember 31MonthAll

Outcomes

Resolution rules (the market's own text)

YES probability over timeDecember 31MonthAll

Outcomes

YES probability over timeDecember 31

YES probability over timeDecember 31