US announces withdrawal from Al Udeid Air Base by Oct 31?

IranQatarPeace DealGeopoliticsMiddle EastU.S. x Iran

Updated:3 Oct

Implied probability3.1%thin market

Move—

Bid/ask spreadbid 1.2% / ask 5%

Ends31 Oct 2026 in 30 days

Total volume: 0 US$ 24h volume: 0 US$ Liquidity: 12,078 US$

Implied probability is the price of a YES share: one costs $0.031 now and pays $1 if the question resolves yes — what the market's traders believe, not Gheymatban's forecast and not the truth.

Resolution rules (the market's own text)

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Donald Trump, the United States government, the United States military, or their authorized representatives, publicly and officially announces that the United States will completely withdraw from Al Udeid Air Base between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM ET.…

YES probability over time

No stored history for this outcome yet.

Outcomes

US announces withdrawal from Al Udeid Air Base by Oct 31?Volume: 0 US$
3.1%

Source: a prediction market's questions on Iran — read-only