IrantollUS-IranPoliticsGeopoliticsU.S. x IranIran CeasefireStrait of Hormuz
Total volume: 985,577 US$ 24h volume: 44 US$ Liquidity: 33,400 US$
Implied probability is the price of a YES share: one costs $0.042 now and pays $1 if the question resolves yes — what the market's traders believe, not Gheymatban's forecast and not the truth.
This market will resolve "Yes" if the United States government collects a payment from any shipping company, vessel, foreign government, or other relevant entity as a fee, toll, or reimbursement for transit through the Strait of Hormuz, or for the protection of shipping in the Strait of Hormuz, by the listed date,…
US charges Hormuz fees by December 31? — YES probability from 35% on 13 Jul 2026 to 4.2% on 1 Oct 2026
Source: a prediction market's questions on Iran — read-only