US imposes new sanctions on China by October 31?

IranChinaTrumpEconomyPoliticsTrump-XiGeopolitics

Updated:2 Oct

Implied probability10%thin market

Move1d −10.5 pp

Bid/ask spreadbid 6% / ask 14%

Ends31 Oct 2026 in 30 days

Total volume: 477 US$ 24h volume: 462 US$ Liquidity: 591 US$

Implied probability is the price of a YES share: one costs $0.1 now and pays $1 if the question resolves yes — what the market's traders believe, not Gheymatban's forecast and not the truth.

Resolution rules (the market's own text)

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the United States officially imposes new sanctions of any form against China between market creation and October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

YES probability over time

No stored history for this outcome yet.

Outcomes

US imposes new sanctions on China by October 31?1d −10.5 ppVolume: 477 US$
10%

Source: a prediction market's questions on Iran — read-only