IranTrumpIsraelMilitaryPoliticsGeopoliticsMiddle EastIsrael x Iran
Total volume: 803 US$ 24h volume: 1,440 US$ Liquidity: 30,228 US$
Implied probability is the price of a YES share: one costs $0.735 now and pays $1 if the question resolves yes — what the market's traders believe, not Gheymatban's forecast and not the truth.
This market will resolve to “No” if the United States takes a qualifying military action against Iran by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise this market will resolve to “Yes.” A qualifying military action refers to an air strike or a surface-to-surface missile strike, initiated by the United States, that…
No stored history for this outcome yet.
Source: a prediction market's questions on Iran — read-only