Who will attend a round of US-Iran peace talks by December 31?

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed individual attends any formal senior-level round of peace talks between representatives of the United States and Iran between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

No stored history for this outcome yet.

• Steve WitkoffVolume: 4,597 US$

  57%
• Abbas AraghchiVolume: 3,164 US$

  57%
• Jared KushnerVolume: 2,803 US$Chart →
  57%
• Mohammed bin Abdulrahman Al ThaniVolume: 3,886 US$

  48%
• Mohammad Bagher Ghalibaf1d +7 pp1w −24 ppVolume: 120,163 US$Chart →
  29%
• Majid Takht-Ravanchi1d +2 pp1w −14.5 ppVolume: 25,922 US$Chart →
  23%
• Nick Stewart1d −3 pp1w −12.5 ppVolume: 29,496 US$Chart →
  22%
• Ishaq Dar1d −3 pp1w −27 ppVolume: 40,547 US$Chart →
  20%
• Kazem Gharibabadi1d −9 pp1w −19 ppVolume: 27,243 US$Chart →
  18%
• Badr bin Hamad Al Busaidi1d +8.5 pp1w −4 ppVolume: 58,308 US$Chart →
  17%
• J.D. Vance1d −1 pp1w −8 ppVolume: 74,587 US$Chart →
  16%
• Masoud Pezeshkian1d +0.5 pp1w −15.5 ppVolume: 66,977 US$Chart →
  15%
• Rafael Grossi1d 0 pp1w −19 ppVolume: 46,771 US$Chart →
  13%
• Newt GingrichVolume: 1,861 US$Chart →
  7.8%
• Marco Rubio1d 0 pp1w −1 ppVolume: 41,431 US$Chart →
  7.5%
• Palmer LuckeyVolume: 1,161 US$Chart →
  6%
• Esmail Qaani1d 0 pp1w 0 ppVolume: 12,429 US$Chart →
  5.8%
• Ahmad Vahidi1d +0.1 pp1w −0.2 ppVolume: 20,949 US$Chart →
  5.3%
• Donald Trump1d −3.6 pp1w −2.9 ppVolume: 46,069 US$Chart →
  5.1%
• Mohammed bin Salman1d +0.5 pp1w −7.7 ppVolume: 20,702 US$Chart →
  4.8%
• Pete Hegseth1d −2 pp1w −2 ppVolume: 24,527 US$Chart →
  4.5%
• Elon MuskVolume: 2,531 US$Chart →
  2.6%
• Mojtaba Khamenei1d −1.3 pp1w +0.4 ppVolume: 27,705 US$Chart →
  2.2%