Will gas hit ↓ $4.20 by end of October?

AAAOilgasIranEconomyFinanceInflationCommodities

Updated:2 Oct

Implied probability ↓ $4.2050%thin market

Move—

Bid/ask spread—

Ends31 Oct 2026 in 30 days

Total volume: 0 US$ 24h volume: 0 US$ Liquidity: 413 US$

Implied probability is the price of a YES share: one costs $0.495 now and pays $1 if the question resolves yes — what the market's traders believe, not Gheymatban's forecast and not the truth.

Resolution rules (the market's own text)

This market will resolve to "Yes" if on any day between market creation and October 31, 2026, the average US regular gas price is equal to or above the listed price for options marked ↑ (High), or equal to or below the listed price for options marked ↓ (Low).

YES probability over time↓ $4.20

No stored history for this outcome yet.

Outcomes

↓ $4.20Volume: 0 US$
50%
↓ $4.30Volume: 0 US$
48%
↑ $4.50Volume: 0 US$
47%
↓ $4.00Volume: 0 US$
39%
↓ $3.80Volume: 0 US$
39%
↑ $4.60Volume: 0 US$
28%
↑ $4.70Volume: 0 US$
20%
↑ $4.80Volume: 0 US$
12%

Source: a prediction market's questions on Iran — read-only