IranQatarMilitaryGeopoliticsMiddle EastSaudi ArabiaIran CeasefireMilitary Actions
Total volume: 72,036 US$ 24h volume: 890 US$ Liquidity: 2,343 US$
Implied probability is the price of a YES share: one costs $0.525 now and pays $1 if the question resolves yes — what the market's traders believe, not Gheymatban's forecast and not the truth.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Iran targets an Arab country through a qualifying military action between market creation and the listed date, Arabia Standard Time (AST).
Will Iran target an Arab country by October 31? — YES probability from 85% on 9 Sept 2026 to 61% on 1 Oct 2026
Source: a prediction market's questions on Iran — read-only