Will Iran target Egypt by October 31?

IranegyptMilitaryGeopoliticsMiddle EastMilitary ActionsMilitary Strikes

Updated:2 Oct

Implied probability October 312.1%

Move1d −0.1 pp1w −1.3 pp

Bid/ask spreadbid 0.7% / ask 3.4%

Ends31 Oct 2026 in 30 days

Total volume: 31,481 US$ 24h volume: 50 US$ Liquidity: 10,830 US$

Implied probability is the price of a YES share: one costs $0.021 now and pays $1 if the question resolves yes — what the market's traders believe, not Gheymatban's forecast and not the truth.

Resolution rules (the market's own text)

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Iran targets Egypt through a qualifying military action between market creation and the listed date, Cairo time.

YES probability over timeOctober 31

Outcomes

Source: a prediction market's questions on Iran — read-only