IranOmanMilitaryGeopoliticsMiddle EastMilitary ActionsMilitary Strikes
Total volume: 43,192 US$ 24h volume: 142 US$ Liquidity: 12,718 US$
Implied probability is the price of a YES share: one costs $0.125 now and pays $1 if the question resolves yes — what the market's traders believe, not Gheymatban's forecast and not the truth.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Iran targets Oman through a qualifying military action between market creation and the listed date, Gulf Standard Time (GST).
No stored history for this outcome yet.
Each deadline is a separate contract; these odds do not sum to 100.
Term structure: September 30 0.2%, October 31 6%, November 30 13%
Source: a prediction market's questions on Iran — read-only