Will Iran target Qatar by October 31?

IranQatarMilitaryGeopoliticsMiddle EastMilitary ActionsMilitary Strikes

Updated:3 Oct

Implied probability October 3110%thin market

Move1d −5 pp1w −15.5 pp

Bid/ask spreadbid 3% / ask 17%

Ends31 Oct 2026 in 30 days

Total volume: 145,189 US$ 24h volume: 46 US$ Liquidity: 874 US$

Implied probability is the price of a YES share: one costs $0.1 now and pays $1 if the question resolves yes — what the market's traders believe, not Gheymatban's forecast and not the truth.

Resolution rules (the market's own text)

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Iran targets Qatar through a qualifying military action between market creation and the listed date, Arabia Standard Time (AST).

YES probability over timeOctober 31

No stored history for this outcome yet.

Outcomes

October 311d −5 pp1w −15.5 ppVolume: 610 US$
10%

Source: a prediction market's questions on Iran — read-only