Will Iran target Saudi Arabia by November 30?

IranMilitaryGeopoliticsMiddle EastSaudi ArabiaMilitary ActionsMilitary StrikesYemen

Updated:12 Oct

Implied probability November 3032%thin market

Move1d −5.5 pp1w +13 pp

Bid/ask spreadbid 14% / ask 49%

Ends30 Nov 2026 in 50 days

Total volume: 97,116 US$ 24h volume: 139 US$ Liquidity: 10,919 US$

Implied probability is the price of a YES share: one costs $0.315 now and pays $1 if the question resolves yes — what the market's traders believe, not Gheymatban's forecast and not the truth.

Resolution rules (the market's own text)

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Iran targets Saudi Arabia through a qualifying military action between market creation and the listed date, Arabia Standard Time (AST).

YES probability over timeNovember 30

No stored history for this outcome yet.

Outcomes

November 30thinly traded1d −5.5 pp1w +13 ppVolume: 998 US$
32%

Source: a prediction market's questions on Iran — read-only