IranMilitaryGeopoliticsMiddle EastSaudi ArabiaMilitary ActionsMilitary StrikesYemen
Total volume: 93,538 US$ 24h volume: 17 US$ Liquidity: 10,928 US$
Implied probability is the price of a YES share: one costs $0.18 now and pays $1 if the question resolves yes — what the market's traders believe, not Gheymatban's forecast and not the truth.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Iran targets Saudi Arabia through a qualifying military action between market creation and the listed date, Arabia Standard Time (AST).
No stored history for this outcome yet.
Each deadline is a separate contract; these odds do not sum to 100.
Term structure: September 30 0.4%, October 31 6.6%, November 30 18%
Source: a prediction market's questions on Iran — read-only