IranSyriaMilitaryGeopoliticsMiddle EastMilitary ActionsMilitary Strikes
Total volume: 44,004 US$ 24h volume: 404 US$ Liquidity: 10,482 US$
Implied probability is the price of a YES share: one costs $0.045 now and pays $1 if the question resolves yes — what the market's traders believe, not Gheymatban's forecast and not the truth.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Iran targets Syria through a qualifying military action between market creation and the listed date, Damascus time.
Will Iran target Syria by October 31? — YES probability from 28% on 22 Sept 2026 to 4.5% on 1 Oct 2026
Source: a prediction market's questions on Iran — read-only