IranMilitaryGeopoliticsMiddle EastMilitary ActionsMilitary StrikesUnited Arab Emirates
Total volume: 13,358 US$ 24h volume: 68 US$ Liquidity: 20,710 US$
Implied probability is the price of a YES share: one costs $0.355 now and pays $1 if the question resolves yes — what the market's traders believe, not Gheymatban's forecast and not the truth.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Iran targets the United Arab Emirates through a qualifying military action between market creation and the listed date, Gulf Standard Time (GST).
No stored history for this outcome yet.
Each deadline is a separate contract; these odds do not sum to 100.
Term structure: September 30 4.8%, October 31 29%, November 30 36%
Source: a prediction market's questions on Iran — read-only