IsraelMiddle EastGeopoliticsIranPoliticsIsrael x Iran
Total volume: 195,124 US$ 24h volume: 0 US$ Liquidity: 15,040 US$
Implied probability is the price of a YES share: one costs $0.021 now and pays $1 if the question resolves yes — what the market's traders believe, not Gheymatban's forecast and not the truth.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Israeli government announces the reopening/opening of any embassy or consulate in Iran, or if such a reopening/opening is otherwise confirmed, by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Will Israel reopen its embassy in Iran in 2026? — YES probability from 9.5% on 6 Mar 2026 to 2.2% on 1 Oct 2026
Source: a prediction market's questions on Iran — read-only