IranshahGeopoliticsPoliticsReza PahlaviIran Regime
Total volume: 11.8M US$ 24h volume: 130 US$ Liquidity: 101,748 US$
Implied probability is the price of a YES share: one costs $0.031 now and pays $1 if the question resolves yes — what the market's traders believe, not Gheymatban's forecast and not the truth.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Reza Pahlavi de facto holds and exercises the powers of the head of state of Iran by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.” Reza Pahlavi will be considered to hold power if he exercises primary governing authority over the Iranian state during…
Will Reza Pahlavi lead Iran in 2026? — YES probability from 19% on 1 Mar 2026 to 3.1% on 1 Oct 2026
Source: a prediction market's questions on Iran — read-only