OilIranTrumpHormuzGeopoliticsStrait of Hormuz
Total volume: 44,375 US$ 24h volume: 243 US$ Liquidity: 56,999 US$
The deadline has passed and the market has not announced the result yet; the last price is no longer the odds of an open event.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if any finalized daily number of transit calls (“Arrivals of Ships”) for the Strait of Hormuz reported by IMF Portwatch is equal to or above the listed value for any date between market creation and September 30, 2026.
Will 10+ ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by September 30? — YES probability from 46% on 27 Aug 2026 to 3.2% on 1 Oct 2026
Source: a prediction market's questions on Iran — read-only