Reza PahlaviIran RegimeIranIsraelWorldTrumpKhameneiGeopolitics
Total volume: 26.6M US$ 24h volume: 76,335 US$ Liquidity: 810,405 US$
Implied probability is the price of a YES share: one costs $0.065 now and pays $1 if the question resolves yes — what the market's traders believe, not Gheymatban's forecast and not the truth.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Islamic Republic of Iran’s current ruling regime is overthrown, collapsed, or otherwise ceases to govern by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? — YES probability from 16% on 4 Nov 2025 to 6.5% on 1 Oct 2026
Source: a prediction market's questions on Iran — read-only