PoliticsGeopoliticsPeace DealIran
Total volume: 279,135 US$ 24h volume: 10 US$ Liquidity: 23,984 US$
Implied probability is the price of a YES share: one costs $0.135 now and pays $1 if the question resolves yes — what the market's traders believe, not Gheymatban's forecast and not the truth.
On June 14, 2026, the United States and Iran announced a written diplomatic agreement, which stated in Clause 14 that it would culminate in a “final deal” to be endorsed by a binding United Nations Security Council resolution.
UNSC Resolution Endorsing Final U.S.-Iran Deal by December 31? — YES probability from 56% on 23 Jun 2026 to 14% on 1 Oct 2026
Source: a prediction market's questions on Iran — read-only