The Market at a Glance
Live Iranian prices for gold, coins, FX, housing, cars and stocks — with official rates, macro data and the prediction market
Gheymatban brings free-market prices, Divar listings and official statistics together, and flags the unusual numbers and the below-market ads — free, no account. Next time, this is where we say what changed since today.
Listings monitoredBelow marketMarket stressToday's market brief
Tether set an all-time record at 260,410 toman; Bitcoin (toman) also hit a new high; Dollar set records 4 sessions running, closing Thursday at 258,465 toman — 10 records in 30 days
US Dollar — free marketChannel 258
258,465 toman258,465up +1.48%Data from
1 Sept 214,000 to 1 Oct 258,465
Week +10.17%Month +20.78%Year +123.9%At its all-time highOne-month outlook
The range a price stays in over the next month — and how often that range has actually held.Market Stress Index: Tense
Tighter range — held in about half of the testsWhole rangeClose 1 Oct 2026
All of these ranges lean upward because prices rose more often than they fell over the year of tests behind them — a description of the past, not a call on direction. Over the whole record no model beat “today's price” consistently; a drift has helped in the last two years and did not before. The value of this outlook is the range, not the point.
Market Stress Index49Tensedown 1vs yesterday
Largest share: Dollar momentum (percentile 93)
The long view
Dollar, coin, tether and gold over one month, at closing prices — where have we come to?
The market in one table
One row per family: the latest price, the day's change, the change over the chosen range, and the state that number's own owner measures.
- USD yesterdayDollar momentum: Extreme258,465 toman— Day — Updated: yesterday— Month — Updated: yesterdayyesterdayDollar momentum: Extreme
- Reference dollar174,704 toman0% Dayup +9.63% Month
- TetherTether–dollar gap: Calm260,410 tomanup +1.6% Dayup +18.63% MonthTether–dollar gap: Calm
- Euro yesterday292,350 toman— Day — Updated: yesterday— Month — Updated: yesterdayyesterday
- UAE Dirham yesterday70,800 toman— Day — Updated: yesterday— Month — Updated: yesterdayyesterday
- Emami yesterdayCoin premium: Tense260.4M toman— Day — Updated: yesterday— Month — Updated: yesterdayyesterdayCoin premium: Tense
- 18k yesterdayGold divergence: Tense25.7M toman— Day — Updated: yesterday— Month — Updated: yesterdayyesterdayGold divergence: Tense
- Ounce close, today4,184.21 USDup +0.83% Day — close, todaydown −4.65% Month — close, todayclose, today
- BTC (toman)22.6B tomanup +3.83% Dayup +33.6% Month
- TSE all-share index 2 days ago7,766,531up +2.26% Day — Updated: 2 days ago— Month — Updated: 2 days ago2 days ago
- Equal-weight index 2 days ago2,066,687up +1.8% Day — Updated: 2 days ago— Month — Updated: 2 days ago2 days ago
- Interbank rate weekly, 8 days ago24%— Day — weekly, 8 days ago— Month — weekly, 8 days agoweekly, 8 days ago
This table owns no number; every row opens the page that does.All symbols →
Analysis & data
Tether gap and gold ounce
Tether–dollar gap
+0.75%
Tether 260,410 / USD 258,465
Global gold ounce
up +0.83%4,184.21 USD
31 Aug to 2 Oct
Market radar
Statistical description of the data with a published methodology — not investment advice.
Market Stress Index
49Tense
down 1 vs yesterday
Yesterday50 Tense
A week ago38 Normal
A month ago43 Normal
A year ago50 Tense
19 May 2025 to 1 Oct 2026
- Calm
- Normal
- Tense
- Heated
- Extreme
2 straight days in the “Tense” zone
Index componentsWhy this number? →
Largest share: Dollar momentum (percentile 93); 19 points of the index
Main sections
MarketsBitcoin (toman)up +3.83%Today's biggest movesHousingTehran | median of active listingsCarsTehran | median of active listingsStocks7,766,531up +2.26%TSE all-share index | Retail net flow (stocks): +2.9T tomanEconomy at a glance
Source beside every figure; where two sources answer one question (annual inflation) you see both.The dollars
Free market258,465 toman
ETS cash rate249,028 toman
Free market 3.8% above the ETS cash rate
Reference rate174,704 toman
Free market 47.9% above the reference rate | 2 Oct
PPP rate (World Bank)14,794 toman
1404 — that year's free dollar was 7.1× this
Inflation
12-month to Shahrivar 140568.4%CBI
Annual 140448.3%CBI
Annual 140442.2%World Bank
Forecast 140527.5%IMF | May 2026
Money, rates, growth
Liquidity, Esfand 1404 (20 Feb – 20 Mar 2026)15,581 trillion toman53% y/y | no newer figure published
Interbank rate (24 Sept)24%CBI
GDP growth 1404−2.8%World Bank 3%Forecast 1404 | IMF | May 2026
Forecast 14052.7%IMF | May 2026
Prediction market
Prediction market →The dollar, as prediction-market traders price it
The free-market dollar is 258,465 toman today; each column is the implied chance that it sits in that range at the deadline.
- below 230,000 toman: 2.6%
- 230,000–240,000 toman: 2.6%
- 240,000–250,000 toman: 2.8%
- 250,000–260,000 toman: 2.8% — Today's dollar is in this range
- 260,000–270,000 toman: 5.5%
- 270,000–280,000 toman: 17%
- 280,000 toman or more: 73%
2.8%250,000–260,000 tomanthin market24h volume $111
Range edges in thousand toman Columns add up to 105.8% — each range is its own contract
- below 200,000 toman: 11%
- 200,000–250,000 toman: 17%
- 250,000–300,000 toman: 27% — Today's dollar is in this range
- 300,000–350,000 toman: 30%
- 350,000–400,000 toman: 12%
- 400,000 toman or more: 5.3%
27%250,000–300,000 toman1w −2.5 pp24h volume $200
Range edges in thousand toman
Biggest moves this week
Each row is a separate contract and the odds do not sum to exactly 100; the market defines the buckets in rials, read here in toman; a market price, not Gheymatban's forecast
Central Bank, World Bank & IMF, prediction markets — side by side